Risk · Queue Size & Deliverability

Grid Deliverability

Interconnection queue size, large-load pipeline, generation mix, and transmission context by grid operator — a first look at whether new load can actually get firm power delivered, not just whether a queue slot exists.

Confidence A Directly reported figure B Estimated / Derived C Regional inference / indirect estimate D Not found / insufficient data
Grid Operators Rated Low Deliverability 14 / 26

Editorial rating based on queue size vs. system scale, generation mix and transmission context

Grid operators tracked 26 15 US · 11 international
Largest disclosed queue 738,000 MW NESO, United Kingdom

Total queue and large-load pipeline are each operator's most recent disclosed figures (generation + storage + large-load, whichever basis is reported) — not on a consistent basis across operators, so don't sum or compare 1:1 across countries. Deliverability is an editorial High/Medium/Low rating based on queue size vs. system scale, generation mix, and transmission context.

Queue Size

US markets (15)

15 MARKETS
Grid OperatorRegion/StateTotal Queue (MW)Large-Load Pipeline (MW)DeliverabilityConfidenceSource
ERCOTTexas453,562438,000MediumBElectric Reliability Council of Texas (ERCOT)
PJMMid-Atlantic and Midwest220,000—LowAPJM Interconnection
SPP14-state central and western United States footprint151,00026,400MediumBSouthwest Power Pool (SPP)
PacifiCorp WestCalifornia51,350—MediumCPacifiCorp
SRPCentral Arizona21,4006,944LowBSalt River Project (SRP)
NEVPSouthern Nevada17,61022,000MediumBNV Energy (NEVP)
NorthWestern EnergyWestern two-thirds of Montana and eastern South Dakota; natural-gas service also extends into Nebraska16,3802,250LowBNorthWestern Energy
AvistaInland Northwest—primarily eastern Washington14,520500LowBAvista Corporation
TEPSouthern Arizona9,270286MediumBTucson Electric Power (TEP)
PNMNew Mexico4,1974,197MediumBPublic Service Company of New Mexico (PNM)
PSCoColorado3,50016,100LowBPublic Service Company of Colorado (PSCo) / Xcel Energy
PGEOregon / Pacific Northwest3,0003,000LowBPortland General Electric (2025 Annual Report)
FPLFlorida1,0008,000MediumBFlorida Power & Light Company
TECOWest Central Florida——MediumBFlorida Public Service Commission / Tampa Electric Company 2025 Ten-Year Site Plan
DESCCentral——MediumBDominion Energy South Carolina

International markets (11)

11 MARKETS
Grid OperatorRegion/StateTotal Queue (MW)Large-Load Pipeline (MW)DeliverabilityConfidenceSource
RTEFrance33,00025,000LowARTE (Réseau de transport d’électricité)
TenneT (Netherlands)Netherlands60,0007,900LowBTenneT Netherlands
TEPCOJapan15,20015,200LowATEPCO Power Grid
EMASingapore1,800500MediumBEnergy Market Authority (EMA) of Singapore
50HertzGermany30,000—MediumB50Hertz Transmission GmbH
EirGridIreland11,6646,000LowBEirGrid
AmprionGermany86,000—LowBRegelleistung-Online / Amprion GmbH
TenneT (Germany)Germany77,0003,000LowATenneT Germany (TenneT TSO GmbH)
Svenska kraftnatSweden45,1574,500LowBSvenska kraftnät
AEMOAustralia84,0009,000MediumAAustralian Energy Market Operator (AEMO)
NESOUnited Kingdom738,00050,000LowANational Energy System Operator (NESO)

UK spotlight: why NESO rates Low

AZRAQ DERIVED · 14 SEP 2026
Contracted, not connected596 GWTEC register increases across 1,804 projects, against 81.9 GW connected. 85% is still at scoping.
Demand in the transmission queue53 GW99 TEC projects with a demand element, consistent with the roughly 50 GW data center figure.
Deliverable at distribution level30.5 GWAfter grid supply point limits, across four of six networks. A further 8.9 GW is blocked at 458 sites.
Sites able to take 50 MW or more66Only 11 substations can deliver 100 MW or more today.

The headline queue overstates what will connect: most contracted capacity is storage and solar at scoping, dated 2028 to 2037. For a large new load the binding constraint is local. Deliverable headroom is spread thinly, capacity near London’s internet exchanges is scarce (2.8 GW within 25 km), and UK Power Networks’ operating data centers draw only about 21% of the capacity they contract, which keeps the queue inflated.